{"id":311064,"date":"2026-03-11T15:46:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T18:46:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/?p=311064"},"modified":"2026-03-11T15:46:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T18:46:21","slug":"genial-quaest-lula-oscila-para-baixo-flavio-sobe-e-corrida-ao-planalto-tem-empate-numerico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/2026\/03\/11\/genial-quaest-lula-oscila-para-baixo-flavio-sobe-e-corrida-ao-planalto-tem-empate-numerico\/","title":{"rendered":"Genial\/Quaest: Lula oscila para baixo, Fl\u00e1vio sobe e corrida ao Planalto tem empate num\u00e9rico"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A nova pesquisa\u00a0Genial\/Quaest\u00a0divulgada nesta quarta-feira, 11, traz mais uma rodada de m\u00e1s not\u00edcias para o presidente\u00a0Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT):\u00a0 o petita oscilou dois pontos para baixo nas inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao levantamento do mesmo instituto em fevereiro, enquanto o seu principal advers\u00e1rio,\u00a0Fl\u00e1vio\u00a0Bolsonaro (PL), subiu tr\u00eas pontos percentuais\u00a0 \u2014 com isso, ambos est\u00e3o empatados numericamente em 41% a 41%.<\/p>\n<p>No primeiro turno,\u00a0Lula continua tendo a vantagem num\u00e9rica em todos os cen\u00e1rios, embora empate com Fl\u00e1vio, dentro da margem de erro, em algumas simula\u00e7\u00f5es. A menor diferen\u00e7a entre eles \u00e9 de um ponto percentual, em uma hip\u00f3tese em que o candidato do PSD seria o governador do Rio Grande do Sul, Eduardo Leite, e o governador de Minas Gerais, Romeu Zema (Novo), n\u00e3o concorreria.\u00a0A maior vantagem para o petista, de sete pontos (fora da margem de erro de dois pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos), ocorreria em um cen\u00e1rio em que o governador do Paran\u00e1, Ratinho J\u00fanior, \u00e9 o escolhido do partido comandado por Gilberto Kassab para disputar a Presid\u00eancia da Rep\u00fablica.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Veja todos os cen\u00e1rios testados na pesquisa presidencial Genial\/Quaest:<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Primeiro turno<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Cen\u00e1rio 1<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT):<\/strong>\u00a037%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL):<\/strong>\u00a030%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ratinho J\u00fanior (PSD):<\/strong>\u00a07%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Romeu Zema (Novo):<\/strong>\u00a03%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o):<\/strong>\u00a01%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aldo Rebelo (DC):<\/strong>\u00a01%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong>\u00a016%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6081340\" class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-6081340 lazyload\" title=\"Genial\/Quaest\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Captura-de-tela-2026-03-11-130720.png?resize=650%2C368&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"Genial\/Quaest\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Cen\u00e1rio 2<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT):<\/strong>\u00a039%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL):<\/strong>\u00a032%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ronaldo Caiado (PSD):<\/strong>\u00a04%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Romeu Zema (Novo):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o):<\/strong>\u00a01%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aldo Rebelo (DC):<\/strong>\u00a01%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indecisos:<\/strong>\u00a05%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong>\u00a016%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6081341\" class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-6081341 aligncenter lazyload\" title=\"Genial\/Quaest\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Captura-de-tela-2026-03-11-130734.png?resize=650%2C360&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"Genial\/Quaest\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Cen\u00e1rio 3<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT):<\/strong>\u00a036%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL):<\/strong>\u00a033%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Romeu Zema (Novo):<\/strong>\u00a03%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Eduardo Leite (PSD):<\/strong>\u00a03%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aldo Rebelo (DC):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indecisos:<\/strong>\u00a05%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong>\u00a016%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6081342\" class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-6081342 lazyload\" title=\"Genial\/Quaest\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Captura-de-tela-2026-03-11-130742.png?resize=650%2C359&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"Genial\/Quaest\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">()<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Cen\u00e1rio 4<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT):<\/strong>\u00a036%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL):<\/strong>\u00a033%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ratinho J\u00fanior (PSD):<\/strong>\u00a07%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aldo Rebelo (DC):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indecisos:<\/strong>\u00a05%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong>\u00a015%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6081343\" class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-6081343 lazyload\" title=\"Genial\/Quaest\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Captura-de-tela-2026-03-11-130751.png?resize=650%2C364&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"Genial\/Quaest\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">()<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Cen\u00e1rio 5<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT):<\/strong>\u00a037%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL):<\/strong>\u00a034%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Romeu Zema (Novo):<\/strong>\u00a03%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aldo Rebelo (DC):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indecisos:<\/strong>\u00a05%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong>\u00a017%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6081344\" class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-6081344 lazyload\" title=\"Captura de tela 2026-03-11 130759\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Captura-de-tela-2026-03-11-130759.png?resize=650%2C363&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"Captura de tela 2026-03-11 130759\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">()<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Cen\u00e1rio 6<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT):<\/strong>\u00a036%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL):<\/strong>\u00a034%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ronaldo Caiado (PSD):<\/strong>\u00a04%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aldo Rebelo (DC):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indecisos:<\/strong>\u00a05%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong>\u00a017%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6081345\" class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-6081345 lazyload\" title=\"Genial\/Quaest\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Captura-de-tela-2026-03-11-130806.png?resize=650%2C364&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"Genial\/Quaest\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">()<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Cen\u00e1rio 7<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT):<\/strong>\u00a036%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL):<\/strong>\u00a035%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Eduardo Leite (PSD):<\/strong>\u00a03%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aldo Rebelo (DC):<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indecisos:<\/strong>\u00a05%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong>\u00a017%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6081346\" class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-6081346 lazyload\" title=\"Captura de tela 2026-03-11 130814\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Captura-de-tela-2026-03-11-130814.png?resize=650%2C360&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"Genial\/Quaest\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">()<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Segundo turno<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Cen\u00e1rio 1<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT):<\/strong>\u00a041%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL):<\/strong>\u00a041%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indecisos:<\/strong>\u00a02%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong>\u00a016%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6081312\" class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-6081312 lazyload\" title=\"Genial Quaest 11\/3\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Captura-de-tela-2026-03-11-124632.png?resize=650%2C364&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"Genial Quaest 11\/3\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(Genial\/Quaest\/.)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Cen\u00e1rio 2<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT):<\/strong>\u00a042%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ratinho J\u00fanior (PSD):<\/strong>\u00a033%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indecisos:<\/strong>\u00a03%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong>\u00a022%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6081317\" class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-6081317 lazyload\" title=\"Genial Quaest 11\/3\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Captura-de-tela-2026-03-11-130116.png?resize=650%2C364&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"Genial Quaest 11\/3\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(Genial\/Quaest\/.)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Cen\u00e1rio 3<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT):<\/strong>\u00a044%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Romeu Zema (Novo):<\/strong>\u00a034%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indecisos:<\/strong>\u00a03%<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong>\u00a019%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6081322\" class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-6081322 lazyload\" title=\"Genial\/Quaest\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Captura-de-tela-2026-03-11-130123.png?resize=756%2C422&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"Genial\/Quaest\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(Genial\/Quaest\/.)<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A nova pesquisa\u00a0Genial\/Quaest\u00a0divulgada nesta quarta-feira, 11, traz mais uma rodada de m\u00e1s not\u00edcias para o presidente\u00a0Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT):\u00a0 o petita oscilou dois&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":311065,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sfsi_plus_gutenberg_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_show_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_type":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_alignemt":"","sfsi_plus_gutenburg_max_per_row":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[123,50,2,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-311064","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-brasil","category-destaque","category-geral","category-politica"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/311064","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=311064"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/311064\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":311066,"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/311064\/revisions\/311066"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/311065"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=311064"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=311064"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.caririemacao.com\/1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=311064"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}